Calculating Aaron Judge Mega Free Agent Contract Value
The value of Aaron Judge’s record-breaking free agency contract
Give it to Aaron Judge: The man bets on himself and will reap the rewards this offseason when he becomes a free agent. His payout will be determined by analysis and a bidding war.
Judge is likely to win the American League MVP. He’s on pace to pass Roger Murray’s single-season home run total of 61, perhaps before the week is out. He has already tied Babe Ruth and is currently one of only six players to hit the 60 homerun milestone. The last people to do it? Barry Bonds and Sammy Sosa in the PED-infested 2001 season He is 20 home runs ahead of second-place Kyle Schwarber.
On top of the staggering home run numbers, he is the American League’s Triple Crown leader (.316/60/128) and is 14 points shy of the league’s Triple Crown leader (Freddie Freeman with.330). tops in the league (Avg.). Beyond the Triple Crown, he ranked No. 1 in the league in SLG (.703), OPS (1.123), OPS+ (214), OBP (.419), total bases (372), runs (123), XBH (87). is on, and the most important battle (9.7).
With such impressive numbers, his salary will be one of the highest ever. But by what measure?
As noted, Judge bet on himself this year by turning down a seven-year, $213.5 million extension offered by the Yankees in spring training. According to Jon Heyman of the New York Post, it countered offers of up to $360 million at an AAV of $36 million over 9 or 10 years.
That was before 2022 went on that tear. Its value has increased even more.
If there’s a downside to Judge’s free agent deal, it’s his age: He’ll turn 31 in April 2023. This accounts for how he may rank in terms of total contract salary.
The 12-year, $426.5 million contract Mike Trout has signed is the most expensive in MLB history. It eclipsed Mookie Betts at #2 (12 years, $365 million). Depending on the average annual value (AAV), the judge may fall somewhere in between.
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Chances are high that this will be Judge’s first and last free agent contract. A 12-year contract would be a gamble as he would be 43 years old by the time it expires. A ten-year, $400 million deal with incentives would give him an AAV of $40 million, putting him behind only Max Scherzer ($43.333 million) in terms of AAV and ahead of Trout (AAV) as the position player. will rank #1 ($35,541,667).
Aaron Judge’s rookie contract
Judge not only has statistical advantages, but the icing on the cake is his intangibles. Given his current position with the New York Yankees, he has become a prominent marketing pitchman. Recently, he came up with the SHOC energy drink. His other endorsements are from Adidas, Pepsi, and others.
So, can the judge land in the $400 million range? He’s bound to be there, or possibly more. The big question will be whether he will stay in the Yankee pinstripes or go elsewhere. Declining an extension during spring training makes it clear he will field multiple bidders. Still, because Derek Jeter has a player who seems to be the epitome of what it means to be a Yankee, like Aaron Judge. We’re only a few months away from free agency after the World Series. We will know soon enough.
How much will Aaron’s judge get?
Give it to Aaron Judge: The man bets on himself and will reap the rewards this offseason when he becomes a free agent. His payout will be determined by analysis and a bidding war. Judge is likely to win the American League MVP. He is on pace to pass Roger Mars’ single-season home run mark of 61.
How much does Aaron Judge make per game?
Watching Aaron Judge’s quest for 61 home runs
Aaron Judge has joined MLB home run royalty. The Yankees star clubbed his 60th home run of the season on Tuesday night, joining a distinguished list of sluggers and putting him one homer away from tying Roger Maris for the American League single-season record. With his 60th home run, Judge surpassed Babe Ruth to tie for the eighth-most in a season in MLB history.
Back in spring training, the judge rejected a seven-year contract extension worth $213.5 million. It was a bold decision, no doubt, and Judge has responded this season by doing the seemingly impossible: He’s made himself more money. Some players will crack under the pressure. A judge did not. He is thriving.
In addition to home runs, Judge also leads the league in walks, runs scored, RBI, total bases, on-base percentage, slugging percentage, OPS, OPS+, and WAR in both the FanGraphs and Baseball-Reference versions. The race for the home run title isn’t a race at all.
The MLB home run leaderboard as of September 20 is shown below:
1. Aaron Judge, Yankees: 60
2. Kyle Schwarber, Phillies: 40
3. Yordan Alvarez, Astros: 37
4. Austin Riley, Braves, 37
5. Mike Trout, Angels: 36
Judge is on pace to smash 66 home runs this season with 60 now in 148 team games.
Maryse’s pursuit of Judge’s AL home run record has some surprising parallels. In 1961, 61 years ago, Maurice, who passed away in 1985, hit 61 home runs. He also wore the number 9. The judge wore number 99. Also, Judge hit his 203rd career home run on August 10, the same number of homers Mars hit with the Yankees.
It’s always nice to see Dad brought back into the public eye a little bit for his accolades in baseball. He’s done so much for the game. We are proud of what he has accomplished. 61 is a unique number, Kevin Mars, one of Roger’s sons, told MLB.com in August. can It is a unique record, one of the best in sports. Hitting a baseball is not easy. Accomplishing that, you’ve done it in a season, not just one game or one at-bat.
Single-season home run leaderboard
Before we go any further, I should point you that a player has only hit 60 home runs in a season eight times in MLB history, and six of those eight occasions occurred during the ‘Steroid Era. What we’re discussing with the judge doesn’t occur frequently. Below is a list of the eight seasons with 60 home runs:
1. Barry Bonds, 2001 Giants: 73
2. Mark McGwire, 1998 Cardinals: 70
3. Sammy Sosa, 1998 Shaak: 66
4. Mark McGwire, 1999 Cardinals: 65
5. Sammy Sosa, 2001, Schaub:64
6. Sammy Sosa, 1999 Shaak: 63
7. Roger Mars, 1961 Yankees: 61
8. Babe Ruth, 1927: Yankees: 60
9. Aaron Judge, 2022 Yankees: 60 (and counting)
Giancarlo Stanton is tied for last in MLB with 60 homers, having gone deep 59 times in his 2017 NL MVP season. That includes a truly mind-boggling stretch in which Stanton hit 30 homers over a 48-game span. In his 58-home run campaign as the NL MVP in 2006, Ryan Howard. Even in this homer-happy era, it’s not often that a player makes a true run at 60 dingers.
What does Judge need to do for the remainder of the season?
The judge needs to hit a home run in New York’s last 14 games to match Maris’ AL record, meaning he needs two homers to break the record.
These are the speeds a judge needs to maintain to reach these milestones:
HR is required to reach a milestone of 15 games per hour.
62 homers (a new AL single-season record) 2, 7.00
61 homers (tie Mars’ AL record) 1 14.00
The judge’s current speed is 2.47.
The Yankee Stadium factor
The judge certainly plays in the right home ballpark to hit 60 homers. Yankee Stadium is one of the most home-run-happy ballparks in the major leagues, although Judge isn’t exactly padding his total with the short right-field porch. According to Statcast, Judge has hit just two home runs this season in Yankee Stadium and only Yankee Stadium: a 364-footer against Shane McClenahan on June 15 and a 364-footer against Jonathan Heasley on July 30.
During the at-bat, Judge hit the 200th home run of his career off of Heasley. He reached 200 career homers in just 671 games, second only to Ryan Howard (658).
It’s no surprise that Judge’s career home run rate at home (one per 13.2 plate appearances) is higher than his home run rate on the road (one per 16.1 plate appearances). Anywhere in the park is legal for the umpire to strike the ball. Calculating Aaron Judge Mega
What about his workload?
This is important. The Yankees have 14 games left, but Judge can’t play them all. The Yankees are all about load management, have been for years, and they rarely deviate from their rest schedule.
A judge has been perfectly healthy this season, not even having a single day injury situation, and has started 141 of his team’s 148 games (he has pinch-hit four times). A similar pace would require Judge to start 13 of New York’s last 14 games. Even a lower start would reduce his chances of matching or beating Mars’ AL record. Calculating Aaron Judge Mega
Despite being bad lately, the Yankees are a postseason lock and the ultimate goal is to win the World Series (Judge himself will tell you that), so he’ll do what he thinks is best to make sure that happens. That the team is in the best position in October. That said, he’s not oblivious to the home run chase and the potential history, especially since it would put a lot of bats in the seats. How could the Yankees put Judge at home in September?
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